Ohio State vs. Penn State: A Clash of Titans in Week 10 College Football

As college football fans gear up for an electrifying Week 10, the spotlight falls on a massive showdown: #4 Ohio State heads to Happy Valley to take on #3 Penn State on Saturday, November 2nd. This matchup is not just another game on the calendar; it’s a critical clash with playoff implications, star players, and a prolonged rivalry that promises excitement and drama. With Ohio State currently a 4-point road favorite, the stakes couldn’t be higher.

Current Odds and Changes

The odds initially opened with Ohio State giving 3 points, but that line quickly shifted to 4 points following early betting action favoring the Buckeyes. While the total remains steady at 47.5 points, it’ll likely change if Penn State’s star quarterback, Drew Allar, cannot play due to a knee injury sustained during their last game against Wisconsin.

Drew Allar’s Injury: A Game-Changer?

All eyes are on Drew Allar following his injury that forced him to exit the game against Wisconsin. Allar’s performance this season has been impressive—throwing for 1,640 yards and 12 touchdowns—but his absence could significantly impact Penn State’s chances against an elite Ohio State team. Without Allar, sophomore Beau Pribula stepped in during the second half against Wisconsin, leading his team to a solid comeback but remains untested against robust defenses like Ohio State.

Head coach James Franklin remarked Allar was not mobile enough to continue, raising concerns about his status for Saturday’s critical face-off against the Buckeyes. The Nittany Lions fans have every reason to be anxious, especially considering Pribula’s inexperience. While he showcased resilience against Wisconsin, he will be faced with a far tougher challenge against the Buckeyes’ formidable defense.

Ohio State’s Recent Performance: Navigating Turbulence

It’s not all straightforward for Ohio State, either. The Buckeyes barely escaped an upset against Nebraska in Week 9, needing a last-minute interception to secure victory. Ryan Day’s squad showed vulnerabilities, particularly in their ground game, where they only managed 64 yards. However, quarterback Will Howard connected for three touchdowns, showcasing the Buckeyes’ ability to score when it counts, including a highlight-reel 60-yard touchdown to freshman sensation Jeremiah Smith, who continues to impress in his debut season.

Defensive Dominance

Ohio State’s defense will be a relentless challenge for whatever Penn State puts on the field. Currently rated as the top defense per SP+, the Buckeyes allow just 11.9 points per game. That statistic is a testament to their ability to stifle opposing offenses. This strength raises significant questions about Penn State’s scoring potential in light of Allar’s possible absence.

Historical Context: A Penn State Drought

The Nittany Lions have not beaten the Buckeyes in the last eight meetings since 2016. In a span of games dominated by Ohio State, they have won 11 out of the last 12 matchups. With Franklin at the helm, Penn State has only managed to clinch one victory over Ohio State out of nine attempts. These historical trends are crucial context for both teams as they prepare for Saturday’s clash.

Key Considerations for Betting

For those looking to place bets, the time to act is now. Should Allar be officially ruled out, expect the line to move significantly in the Buckeyes’ favor. Conversely, if he takes the field, weariness about his health and effectiveness against a top-ranked Ohio State could temper enthusiasm for a Penn State cover.

Ohio State holds a statistical edge over Penn State in most offensive and defensive categories, presenting a compelling case for the Buckeyes as favorites. Moreover, even if Allar plays, he could be operating at less than full capacity, which doesn’t bode well against a well-coached and highly motivated Ohio State team.

Final Thoughts and Predictions

With Saturday’s kickoff fast approaching, both teams face a pivotal moment that could determine their postseason fate. Whether Allar suits up or not, the Buckeyes will bring their full arsenal to Happy Valley, ready to maintain their winning streak against a formidable but potentially vulnerable Nittany Lions team.

• Pick: Ohio State -4 (-110)